Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 54.81% | 21.81% | 23.38% |
| Both teams to score 60.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% | 13.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.59% | 41.41% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% | 29.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% | 65.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-1 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.38% |