Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
54.81% | 21.81% | 23.38% |
Both teams to score 60.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.81% | 38.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% | 60.47% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% | 13.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.59% | 41.41% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% | 65.54% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-1 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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