Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
67.99% | 18.13% | 13.88% |
Both teams to score 55.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% | 36.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% | 58.89% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% | 9.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.24% | 32.75% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% | 38.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% | 75.53% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.87% 3-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.5% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.55% 5-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 4.08% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.13% | 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-1 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.45% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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