Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

May 5, 2022 at 10.05am UK

Parramatta Stadium

Western Sydney
1 - 2
Wellington

Hemed (29')
Baccus (24'), Troisi (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sutton (3'), Piscopo (65')
Pennington (11'), Sail (89')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Newcastle Jets	5	2	5
8	Western Sydney Wanderers	5	-2	5
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
55.1%	23.3%	21.6%

Both teams to score 53.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08%

16.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.02%

46.98%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98%

36.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2%

72.8%

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 55.09%

Wellington Phoenix 21.6%

Draw 23.29%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.62% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3% Total : 55.09%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 6.22% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.6%