Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Apr 9, 2022 at 5.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
1 - 4
Wellington

Lustica (54')
Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32', 63'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Perth Glory	4	1	4
10	Wellington Phoenix	5	-6	4
11	Adelaide United	5	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
48.41%	24.24%	27.34%

Both teams to score 56.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26%

45.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94%

68.05%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01%

18.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.47%

50.52%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56%

30.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35%

66.65%

Score Analysis

Western United 48.41%

Wellington Phoenix 27.34%

Draw 24.24%

Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.22% Total : 48.41%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.34%