Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
41.34% | 26% | 32.66% |
Both teams to score 53.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% | 24.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% | 58.65% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% | 29.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% | 65.23% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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