Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.02%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
| 52.84% | 24.45% | 22.71% |
| Both teams to score 51.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% | 50.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% | 72.47% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% | 19.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% | 36.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.26% | 73.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.71% |