Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 18, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Hunter Stadium
Newcastle Jets4 - 0Wellington
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 49.04% | 24.48% | 26.48% |
| Both teams to score 54.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
