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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 18, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Hunter Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets
4 - 0
Wellington

Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

Last Six:
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
49.04%24.48%26.48%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62%47.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4%69.6%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63%19.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83%51.17%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.43%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 49.03%
    Wellington Phoenix 26.48%
    Draw 24.48%
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.48%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')
Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')
Jan 24, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')

DeVere (9')