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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Feb 16, 2022 at 6.25am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Brisbane Roar

Wellington
3 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Wootton (33'), Sandoval (63'), Piscopo (67')
van Hattum (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neville (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
37.93%24.49%37.57%
Both teams to score 59.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75%43.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35%65.64%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66%56.33%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13%22.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39%56.61%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 37.93%
    Brisbane Roar 37.57%
    Draw 24.49%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.57%