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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 12, 2022 at 6.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Wellington Phoenix

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Wellington

Akbari (7'), Hore (76')
Lescano (25'), (26'), Daley (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hooper (72')
Payne (31'), Rufer (36'), Ball (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
54.27%23.72%22%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66%48.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52%70.48%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64%48.36%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83%73.17%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 54.27%
    Wellington Phoenix 22%
    Draw 23.72%
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-1 @ 5.63%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
Wellington
3-0
Brisbane Roar
Wootton (33'), Sandoval (63'), Piscopo (67')
van Hattum (87')

Neville (77')
May 1, 2021 8.05am
Mar 21, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hemed (42')
McGarry (68'), Payne (80')
Mebrahtu (86')
Gillesphey (5'), Brown (10'), Aldred (90+3')
Gillesphey (90+2')
Aug 5, 2020 9am
Wellington
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hooper (82')
Steinmann (12')
McDonald (61')
Aldred (10'), Ridenton (74')
Jan 18, 2020 6am
Brisbane Roar
1-0
Wellington
Wenzel-Halls (69')
Pepper (32'), Bowles (72'), Hingert (86')

Sotirio (12'), Steinmann (20'), Cacace (87'), Davila (87')
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