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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Aug 5, 2020 at 9am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington, New Zealand
Brisbane Roar

Wellington
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Hooper (82')
Steinmann (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McDonald (61')
Aldred (10'), Ridenton (74')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
47.76%23.98%28.26%
Both teams to score 57.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69%66.32%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47%18.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23%49.77%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.7%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 47.76%
    Brisbane Roar 28.26%
    Draw 23.98%
Wellington PhoenixDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 28.26%