Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
52.24% | 23.39% | 24.37% |
Both teams to score 56.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% | 44.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% | 66.82% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% | 17.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.84% | 47.16% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% | 32.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% | 68.6% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.6% Total : 24.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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