Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 36.98% | 25.27% | 37.74% |
| Both teams to score 56.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% | 69.17% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% | 24.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.74% |