Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.97%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%).
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 40.14% | 21.91% | 37.95% |
| Both teams to score 69.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% | 51.39% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% | 16.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53% | 47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.76% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 7.17% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 2.59% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 2.06% 2-4 @ 1.89% 3-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.36% Total : 37.95% |