| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 36.03% | 25.75% | 38.22% |
| Both teams to score 55.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% | 49.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% | 71.16% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% | 61.56% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.22% |