Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
51.12% | 24.37% | 24.5% |
Both teams to score 53.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% | 48.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% | 70.67% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% | 18.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% | 50.53% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% | 34.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% | 70.93% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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