Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 48.36% | 24.11% | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 56.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% | 44.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% | 18.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% | 29.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% | 66.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.33% Total : 48.36% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.54% |