Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 35.39% | 24.48% | 40.14% |
| Both teams to score 59.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% | 43.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% | 65.75% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% | 58.38% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% | 21.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% | 54.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.14% |