Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Feb 8, 2021 at 8.10am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Wellington

Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
43.06%	25.32%	31.62%

Both teams to score 55.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83%

48.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67%

70.33%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69%

22.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21%

55.79%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32%

28.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5%

64.5%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 43.06%

Wellington Phoenix 31.62%

Draw 25.31%

Sydney FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.62%