Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Jan 2, 2021 at 6.05am UK

WIN Stadium

Wellington
1 - 2
Sydney FC

Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
37.33%	25.11%	37.56%

Both teams to score 57.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.84%

46.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.54%

68.45%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68%

24.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3%

58.7%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81%

24.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48%

58.52%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 37.33%

Sydney FC 37.56%

Draw 25.11%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.33%	1-1 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.88% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11%	1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 0.99% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.56%