Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 41.43% | 23.95% | 34.61% |
| Both teams to score 61.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% | 57.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.61% |