Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 57.35% | 21.56% | 21.09% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% | 39.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% | 62.25% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% | 13.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.02% | 40.98% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 6.55% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.09% |