Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
34.07% | 24.76% | 41.17% |
Both teams to score 58.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% | 44.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% | 25.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.19% | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.97% | 55.04% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-1 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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