Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 34.07% | 24.76% | 41.17% |
| Both teams to score 58.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% | 44.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% | 67.27% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% | 25.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% | 60.44% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% | 21.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% | 55.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-1 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.17% |