Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 38.48% | 23.56% | 37.95% |
| Both teams to score 63.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% | 38.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% | 60.98% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% | 20.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% | 52.82% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.48% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.95% |