Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.