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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 29
Aug 1, 2020 at 8am UK
AAMI Park, Melbourne
Sydney FC

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Sydney FC

Noone (57'), MacLaren (68')
Windbichler (11'), Good (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Retre (40'), Brattan (59')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
42.37%24.67%32.96%
Both teams to score 58.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17%44.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81%67.19%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88%54.12%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71%61.29%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 42.37%
    Sydney FC 32.96%
    Draw 24.67%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.37%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.96%