Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
44.86% | 23.98% | 31.16% |
Both teams to score 59.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.69% | 42.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% | 64.71% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% | 19.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% | 50.68% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% | 26.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.86% | 61.13% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.86% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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