Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%).
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
34.9% | 23.81% | 41.29% |
Both teams to score 61.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% | 40.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% | 62.61% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% | 22.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% | 56.68% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.18% | 51.82% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.14% Total : 41.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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