Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%).
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 34.9% | 23.81% | 41.29% |
| Both teams to score 61.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% | 40.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% | 62.61% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% | 22.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% | 19.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% | 51.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.14% Total : 41.29% |