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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Aug 19, 2020 at 10.30am UK
GMHBA Stadium
Melbourne City

Western Utd
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Berisha (70' pen.)
Dillon (43'), Imai (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Najjar (12'), MacLaren (57' pen., 86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
28.86%21.34%49.8%
Both teams to score 68.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.17%30.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.82%52.18%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23%21.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04%54.96%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.06%12.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.59%39.4%
Score Analysis
    Western United 28.86%
    Melbourne City 49.8%
    Draw 21.34%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.7%
1-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 3.4%
2-0 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.86%
1-1 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 2.82%
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 8.98%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 5.89%
0-1 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.02%
1-4 @ 3.13%
2-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 2.05%
1-5 @ 1.28%
3-4 @ 1.21%
2-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.8%

rhs 2.0


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