Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
28.86% | 21.34% | 49.8% |
Both teams to score 68.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.17% | 30.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.82% | 52.18% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% | 21.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% | 54.96% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.06% | 12.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.59% | 39.4% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.7% 1-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 3.4% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 2.82% 3-3 @ 2.37% Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 5.89% 0-1 @ 5.76% 2-3 @ 4.67% 0-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.05% 1-5 @ 1.28% 3-4 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |