Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Western United had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 55.25% | 23.48% | 21.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% | 48.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% | 17.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.38% | 47.62% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% | 73.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% 2-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.73% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.27% |