Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 39.65% | 24.9% | 35.46% |
| Both teams to score 57.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% | 22.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% | 24.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% | 59.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.46% |