Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
35.86% | 26.44% | 37.7% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% | 52.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% | 27.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% | 26.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% | 62.16% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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