| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 35.86% | 26.44% | 37.7% |
| Both teams to score 52.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% | 52.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% | 27.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% | 26.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% | 62.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.7% |