| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 32.31% | 25.98% | 41.72% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% | 58.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.71% |