| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 31.72% | 23.98% | 44.29% |
| Both teams to score 60.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% | 42.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% | 64.49% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% | 25.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% | 60.51% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% | 19.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% | 50.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 5.01% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.29% |