| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
| 72.84% | 16.23% | 10.92% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.62% | 35.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.59% | 57.41% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% | 8.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.75% | 29.25% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.42% | 42.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% | 78.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.3% 5-0 @ 2.77% 5-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.14% 5-2 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.82% Total : 72.84% | 1-1 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.23% | 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-1 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.92% |