Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
44.82% | 23.29% | 31.88% |
Both teams to score 62.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.29% | 38.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.98% | 61.02% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% | 17.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.73% | 48.27% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% | 58.1% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.92% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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