Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 70.66% | 17.54% | 11.8% |
| Both teams to score 50.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.77% | 39.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% | 61.57% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% | 9.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.19% | 32.81% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% | 43.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.17% | 79.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.71% Total : 70.65% | 1-1 @ 8.29% 0-0 @ 4.32% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.54% | 0-1 @ 3.59% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.1% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.8% |