Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 19, 2022 at 8.45am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
4 - 1
Adelaide United

Giannou (43'), Noone (67'), Toure (73'), Ruhs (90+1')
Susnjar (28'), Noone (31'), McGing (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Goodwin (20')
Goodwin (46'), Caletti (72')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
29.42%	23.53%	47.05%

Both teams to score 60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.88%

41.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49%

63.51%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39%

26.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16%

61.84%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28%

17.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61%

48.39%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 29.43%

Adelaide United 47.05%

Draw 23.53%

Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.15% 1-0 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.43%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 9.35% 0-1 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.81% Total : 47.05%

Macarthur4 - 1Adelaide United

Data Analysis

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Macarthur
4 - 1
Adelaide United