Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
48.14% | 23.66% | 28.2% |
Both teams to score 59.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% | 42.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% | 64.92% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% | 17.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% | 48.59% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% | 28.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% | 63.85% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.72% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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