Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
40.84% | 24.98% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 57.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.07% | 45.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% | 22.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% | 55.93% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% | 25.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% | 61.01% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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