Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Dec 10, 2021 at 8.45am UK

Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Jets
4 - 0
Wellington

Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
37.06%	25.18%	37.75%

Both teams to score 57.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52%

46.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24%

68.76%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39%

24.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89%

59.11%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76%

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42%

58.58%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 37.06%

Wellington Phoenix 37.76%

Draw 25.18%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.89% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.76%

Newcastle Jets4 - 0Wellington

Data Analysis

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