Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 22, 2022 at 5.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Adelaide United

(Melbourne City win 2-1 on aggregate)

Tilio (74'), MacLaren (92')
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clough (48')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
65.89% ( 2.35)	19.38% ( -0.62)	14.72% ( -1.72)

Both teams to score 52.88% (

-2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-0.61)

40.79% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.83% (

-0.63)

63.17% (

0.63)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

0.46)

11.55% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

0.98)

36.49% (

-0.98)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79% (

-2.6)

40.21% (

2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

-2.46)

76.84% (

2.46)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 65.88%

Adelaide United 14.72%

Draw 19.38%

Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.86% Total : 65.88%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.38%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.72%