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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
May 8, 2022 at 9.20am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Western United

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Western Utd

Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Western United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
50.61%23.98%25.4%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9%46.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6%68.39%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71%49.29%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85%32.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37%68.63%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 50.61%
    Western United 25.4%
    Draw 23.98%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.4%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Adelaide United
Pain (44')
Topor-Stanley (25'), Risdon (49'), Lacroix (53')

Juande (24'), Tratt (62'), Sanchez (65')
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Western Utd

D'Arrigo (16'), Halloran (32'), Goodwin (41'), Elsey (83'), Toure (84'), Toure (90')
Toure (90+4')

Sanchez (15'), Durante (90')
Sanchez (36')
Dec 28, 2020 8.05am
Western Utd
0-0
Adelaide United

Sanchez (37'), Diamanti (45+2'), Wales (56'), Calver (64'), A (65'), Lustica (90+2')

Smith (20'), Elsey (24'), Caletti (57')
Mar 7, 2020 6am
Adelaide United
1-5
Western Utd
McGree (25')
Berisha (18', 56'), Diamanti (32'), Burgess (38'), Pain (48')
Jan 26, 2020 7am
Western Utd
3-4
Adelaide United
Berisha (12', 43'), Diamanti (54')
Dillon (79')
Mileusnic (9', 15'), McGree (18'), Konstandopoulos (79')
Jakobsen (76')
rhs 2.0
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