Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
50.61% | 23.98% | 25.4% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% | 46.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% | 68.39% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% | 18.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% | 49.29% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% | 32.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% | 68.63% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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