| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 42.82% | 24.95% | 32.23% |
| Both teams to score 56.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% | 46.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% | 21.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% | 54.75% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.23% |