| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 37.38% | 25.52% | 37.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% | 48.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% | 70.21% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% | 25.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% | 59.87% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% | 25.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.91% | 60.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.09% |