| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Western United had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 51.1% | 24.69% | 24.22% |
| Both teams to score 52.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% | 50.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% | 72.06% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% | 19.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% | 51.54% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% | 35.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% | 72.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.22% |