| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 34.55% | 25.06% | 40.4% |
| Both teams to score 57.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% | 46.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% | 68.48% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% | 60.88% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% | 22.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% | 56.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.55% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.89% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.4% |