Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 44.05% | 26.22% | 29.73% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% | 52.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% | 74.32% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% | 68.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.73% |