Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 32.56% | 24.79% | 42.65% |
| Both teams to score 57.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% | 67.83% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% | 21.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% | 54.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.65% |