Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
32.56% | 24.79% | 42.65% |
Both teams to score 57.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% | 45.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.24% | 26.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.96% | 62.04% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% | 21.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.65% | 54.35% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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