Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 43.38% | 25.41% | 31.21% |
| Both teams to score 54.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% | 48.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% | 22.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% | 55.89% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% | 29.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% | 65.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.21% |