Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 44.97% | 23.42% | 31.61% |
| Both teams to score 62.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% | 39.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% | 17.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% | 48.68% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.61% |