| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 35.48% | 24.33% | 40.19% |
| Both teams to score 60.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% | 65.05% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% | 23.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% | 57.83% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% | 54.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.12% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.19% |